South Asia Investor Review

On July 16 in Shanghai, 29 countries, including China, Pakistan and Russia, signed the founding agreement of WAICO, World AI Cooperation Organization.  Every BRICS founding member is in, except India. This agreement follows the launch of the US-led Pax Silica, a 24-member coalition, including  India , which is designed to counter China's AI efforts. The stated goal of both these competing groups is to provide global governance, including building guardrails and setting standards, for artificial intelligence (AI) technologies.  US-China AI Competition The announcement of WAICO coincided with the launch of Kimi K3 by  Chinese  startup Moonshot AI.  Kimi K3 is the largest open-weight AI model ever built, its full weights free for the world to download from July 27.  Cheaper open-source AI models like Kimi K3 pose a serious threat to U.S. proprietary models. By offering 80-90% of the capability at a fraction of the cost or for free, they are squeezing the ...

Pakistan's electricity demand has soared  21% in just two years . Rapid electrification is positively impacting all sectors of Pakistan's economy. thanks to growing deployment of distributed solar, estimated at 38 GW as of June, 2025. In 2025, 44% of solar deployment was residential, followed by industry (26%), agriculture (21%) and commercial users (9%). It is stimulating demand for a variety of products ranging from air conditioners and refrigerators to washing machines and electric scooters/motorbikes. As a result, Pakistan’s Large-Scale Manufacturing (LSM) sector grew by 6.5% in the fiscal year, rebounding from a –0.69% contraction the previous year.  The fiscal year saw a 61.66% surge in automobile production.  Impact of Solar Energy Revolution in Pakistan Dave Jones of   Ember , a global energy think tank, says Pakistan's experience with distributed solar could become the blueprint for dozens of developing countries.  If Pakistan is the first large-sc...

Policy-makers need data to formulate good policies. Good data produced by government agencies can be expected to lead to good policies and desirable outcomes. But data collection and statistical analyses require adequate methodologies and resources. Unfortunately, Pakistan's data quality gets a "C" grade by international agencies like the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Clearly the country faces significant data quality challenges.  These challenges range from estimation of the size and scope of the informal economy and electricity demand/consumption to education and nutrition.  Here are some examples of where the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data differs sharply from what is being reported by non-government groups:  1. Gross Domestic Product: A large chunk of Pakistan's economy is not documented . The PBS seems to be failing in making even the most rudimentary estimates of it. A 2024 joint study of the International Labor Organization and the Small and Medi...

Pakistan is experiencing soaring demand for electricity across all of the sectors of its economy. The new demand is being met by rapidly growing deployment of distributed solar, estimated at 38 GW as of June, 2025. In 2025, 44% of solar deployment was residential, followed by industry (26%), agriculture (21%) and commercial users (9%). The expansion of distributed solar has enhanced electrification across the economy, lifting Pakistan's  electrification  rate to 21.7% in FY2025 from 17% in FY2023, close to the global average of 22%. This surge to over 200 terawatt-hours of electricity is not reflected in official data, according to a report by  Ember Energy  titled "The solarization of Pakistan's energy economy".  The  solar energy revolution  in Pakistan is led by consumers. Driven by soaring electricity costs, unreliable grid infrastructure, and cheap imported solar panels, millions of households and businesses have installed rooftop solar. This rapi...

Dr. Danish Saleheen, a  Pakistani-American  professor at Columbia University, and his fellow researchers have published a comprehensive analysis of 173,303 genomes from Pakistan, one of the largest  genomic studies  ever conducted in South Asia. This landmark work is upending how scientists understand human genetics and drug development. "South Asians have been severely underrepresented in genome studies—comprising just 2% of global genomic databases despite representing 25% of the world's population," study leader Dr. Saleheen explained. The study is sponsored by Novartis, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, and the Center for Non-Communicable Diseases, Karachi, Pakistan. Its results could fundamentally transform drug discovery.  The study, published in the journal  Nature , has identified knockouts of nearly 6,500 genes—about one third of all protein-coding genes (exomes)—in 34,000 individuals. Cousin marriages are quite prevalent in Paki...

A 2024 joint study of the International Labor Organization and the Small and Medium Enterprise Development Authority  (SMEDA) estimated Pakistan's undocumented economy at $457 billion. While other South Asian nations, particularly Bangladesh and India, do include estimated undocumented GDP figures in their official GDP, Pakistan's official GDP figures do not include such estimates. If the Pakistani government decides to include estimates of the informal economy in its official figures, the country's GDP would jump to $1,059  billion in market exchange terms and over $4,000 billion in PPP terms.  Pakistan's Total GDP, including Undocumented, Estimated at over $1 Trillion In 2023 when the  ILO-SMEDA study  was conducted, Pakistan's official GDP was $340 billion (34% less than the undocumented GDP), bringing the total real GDP for 2023 to $797 billion. Pakistan's official GDP figure for 2025-26 is projected to be $452 billion. Assuming that the undocumented GDP has...